Author: Carlos Aquino Rodriguez,
Professor at the Faculty of Economics
Director, Institute of Economic Research,
Universidad Nacional Mayor de San Marcos, Lima, Peru
Advisor to the Ministry of Foreign
Affairs of Peru in themes of APEC
Abstract: In the last two
decades, Peru has increased its economic and political relations with East
Asian countries. This has been accelerated since the incorporation of Peru to
the Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation forum, APEC, in 1998 and the various
trade agreements that Peru has made with countries of that region.
In addition, the
economic stability that Peru achieved from 1990 onwards, and the sustained
growth that has achieved since 2000 has made Asians look to Peru as a country
of opportunities. The raw materials that Peru possesses are also a magnet for
Asian countries.
However, as more than 90% of Peruvian exports
to that region are just raw materials and Peru buys from them manufactured
goods, the trade relationship is asymmetric.
In order for this relationship to be more
balanced and profitable we could learn from the example of East Asia countries,
which went from being a region where several of them also exported mainly raw
materials to export manufactured goods, by the incorporation of science and
technology. Besides this, Peru must also make more efforts to get to know the
region and its markets.
The East Asia is the fastest growing region
in the world, it will keep growing, and the relationship with them will be
growing too, and China has already become the largest trading partner of Peru.
Keywords: Peru-Asia economic relations,
exports to Asia, China, Japan
This study analyzes mainly the economic
relation of Peru with countries of East Asia region, members of APEC. This
region is becoming more important in the world, with China leading the way.
In the first part we will see in the
introduction the history of relations between Peru and the Asian region, the
present political relationship and the growing importance of this region in the
world economy, in the second part we will see trade relations of Peru with the East
Asia countries, in the third part the investment of these countries in Peru is
analyzed, in the fourth part the magnitude of the economic cooperation from
these countries, and fifth and last part some conclusions and policy
recommendations are given.
I.
INTRODUCTION:
The Asian region in study is the East Asia,
the Asian countries bathed by the waters of the Pacific Ocean. This study
specifically examines the relationship with the following countries/economies:
China, South Korea, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand,
Taiwan, and Vietnam, but also Australia, New Zealand and even Russia are
mentioned. These countries, along with Papua New Guinea and Brunei, are the 16
APEC member economies in the Asian side. We won’t see the relationship with the
latter two economies as this is pretty small. As you know the APEC has 21
members, 16 on the Asian side and five on the American side, the latter are
USA, Canada, Chile, Mexico and Peru
For economic
relations we refer to those of trade, investment, but also economic
cooperation.
With several of these countries, Peru has a
long history of relations in the area of immigration, diplomatic contacts, and
trade.
Peru was the first Latin-American country
that accepted massive immigration from China, and from 1849 to 1872 it is
estimated that some 100,000 citizens of that country arrived to Peru, as
workers (coolies), and also from 1899 Japanese citizens began to arrive to Peru,
and it is estimated that until the second decade of the twentieth century came
in a number of 25,000. This has meant that Peru has now the largest Chinese
community in Latin America and the second largest of Nikkei (Japanese
descendants), after Brazil in the region. From 1990 onwards Koreans also began
to arrive though their number is small yet.
Moreover, Peru was the first Latin American
country to establish diplomatic relations with Japan, in 1873, and with China
the following year.[1]
In the 1920s there was a fluid trade with
Japan, and this country exported a lot of textile and clothing to Peru. It had
already become the most efficient producer in the world at that time of these
products and these flooded world markets, so much that at the end of that
decade the textile and clothing sector in Peru asked to the government to
impose a quota for Japanese imports because of the strong competition in the national
market.
East Asia is gaining presence in the global
economy. There is China (the second largest economy in the world), Japan (the
third), South Korea (the fifteenth). The fastest growing economies in the world
are in East Asia. See Table 1
The high growth rate of Korea and Indonesia will
make sure that they will be among the 10 largest economies in the world over
the course of a decade.
TABLE 1: COUNTRIES BY GDP SIZE,
BILLION OF DOLLARS
Countries
|
Gross Domestic Product (GDP), 2012
|
Average annual growth% *
2000-2010
|
1.
USA
|
15,684.8
|
1.9
|
2. China
|
8,227.1
|
10.8
|
3. Japan
|
5,959.7
|
0.9
|
4.
Germany
|
3,399.5
|
1.0
|
5.
France
|
2,612.8
|
1.3
|
6.
England
|
2,435.1
|
1.6
|
7.
Brazil
|
2,252.6
|
3.7
|
8.
Russian Federation
|
2,014.7
|
5.4
|
9.
Italy
|
2,013.2
|
0.3
|
10. India
|
1,841.7
|
8.0
|
11.
Canada
|
1,821.4
|
2.0
|
12.
Australia
|
1,520.6
|
3.3
|
13.
Spain
|
1,349.3
|
2.4
|
14.
Mexico
|
1,177.2
|
2.2
|
15. Korea
|
1,129.5
|
4.1
|
16. Indonesia
|
878.0
|
5.3
|
Source: The World Bank, Data, GDP. http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.CD
*World Bank, “World Development Report 2012”, Selected World Development
Indicators 2012, from Table 4.
Peru in recent years has increased its
relations with the region and China since 2011 became the largest export
destination and biggest trading partner.
The scope for more relations with Asia is huge,
given the speed of economic growth in those countries. Especially when the
global economy faces the prospect of a slower growth, the Asian region
continues to grow at high rates.
For example, it appears that China will
become the world's largest economy around 2020. The other Asian countries also
continue to grow, although Japan, which is already a mature economy, faces some
problems, and grows little.
China, which began its economic reforms in
1979, draws special attention as it has grown for 33 consecutive years until
2011 at an average annual rate of 10%, something unprecedented in world
history. Now, this should not be much of a surprise if we know something about
the history of China and its economic development. Actually China is recovering
the place it had had in the world economy, which it lost in the last two
centuries. It is estimated that by the year 1820 China's economy represented
one third of global GDP. See Graph 1. This was reduced to almost 4% in 1950,
its lowest point.
China went through a period of economic
decline, when the Industrial Revolution began in the West in the late XVIII
century and the benefits of this make the European countries first and then the
U.S. to grow rapidly. China lost that opportunity because it became isolated from
the world from the early seventeenth century.
This was worsened when it was opened by force
by Western countries in the second half of the nineteenth century, and
combined with the wars and revolutions it suffered, made it reaches its lowest
point in 1949 when the communist revolution occurred that year. But since 1979
the country began again to grow and regain its position in the world.
CHART
1: SHARE OF CHINA AND SOME COUNTRIES IN THE GLOBAL ECONOMY
Source: “El surgimiento de China: Una visión
desde América Central”, Manuel R. Agosin, y otros
http://www.iadb.org/regions/re2/surgimiento%20china%2004-10-29.pdf
http://www.iadb.org/regions/re2/surgimiento%20china%2004-10-29.pdf
Another reason of
why we should not be surprised by China growth is that this rapid growth is not
unique, it is a model already seen in East Asia, with Japan, Korea, Taiwan and
others, who for more than 20 or 30 years also grew at high rates. That model
included government intervention in the economy, protection of its domestic
industry and an orientation of its economy to the world markets[2].
Finally China
has nearly one fifth of the world population, the largest in the world, so the
size of its market and its population allows China to grow more than other
Asian countries and become the largest economy in the world.
China has now
become the world 's second largest economy, with a Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
of nearly 8.2 billion dollars in 2012[3], an
increase of almost 7 times compared to 2000, and its GDP per capita has
increased from 949 dollars to almost $6,100 in the same period (an increase of
more than 6 times) .
At the rate that
China is growing, and as predicted by many institutions, in some years it will
overtake the U.S. to become the world's largest economy[4]. See Graph 2.
GRAPHIC 2: THE THREE LARGEST ECONOMIES: 1870, 1973,
2010, AND 2030
But as
indicated, not only China is growing at high rates but also other Asian
countries. As seen in the following Graphic, the East Asian countries have
grow, is growing and will continue to grow at higher rates than any other
region in the world.
GRAPHIC 3: LONG-TERM GROWTH, 1980-2030
Source: World Bank: Global Economic
Prospects 2008
http://siteresources.worldbank.org/INTGEP2008/Resources/complete-report.pdf
http://siteresources.worldbank.org/INTGEP2008/Resources/complete-report.pdf
In the table below we can see how China and
East Asia will continue to grow at higher rates than other countries or regions
in the coming years, despite the current global economic uncertainty.
TABLE 2: GLOBAL
ECONOMY: SUMMARY OF PROJECTIONS
Source: Economist Intelligence Unit, Global Forecasting
Service, September 2013
Finally, as shown in the following Graphic,
one of the reasons why Asia will keep growing is that is the most populated
region in the world, and this will continue to be so, while in other regions
population will grow slightly, or decrease (as in Europe). That's why the
market is in Asia, because a growing numbers of consumers are there (and there
is still a huge pool of cheap labor in this region).
GRAPHIC
4: THE MARKET, THE CONSUMERS ARE IN ASIA
Source: http://www.economist.com/specialreports/displaystory.cfm?story_id=15879369
As shown in the
following Table 3, countries in the Asian region are important participants in
global trade. China, Japan, Korea, Hong Kong, Singapore and Chinese Taipei
(Taiwan) are among the top 17 exporters and / or importers. Up to 30th place is
included also Thailand, Malaysia, and Indonesia.
In summary, the
Asian region, especially the East Asia, has grown, is growing and will grow faster
than any other region in the world, and therefore the need for Peru to relate
more to them and take advantage of these growing markets.
As commented
before, Peru has very old diplomatic relations with China and Japan. In
1971 it established diplomatic relations with the new People´s Republic of
China. In 1963 it had established diplomatic relations with the Republic of
Korea (South Korea), in 1965 with the Kingdom of Thailand, and in 1975 it
established relations with Indonesia, among others.
Peru's relations
with Asia have strengthened in the last 20 years. Since 1990 when the country
opened its economy to the world, reduced barriers to imports, enacted a policy
to attract investment from abroad and embarked on the task of getting more involved
with Asia, signing free trade agreements (FTAs), trade with Asia increased, as
well as investment from those countries.
Thus, Peru is
present in the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation forum, APEC, together with China,
Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, Hong Kong, Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia,
Thailand, Philippines, and Vietnam. Peru joined this forum in 1998, and in 2008
an APEC leaders’ summit was held in Lima (and again in the year 2016 an APEC
Summit meeting will be held in Lima).
Since the 1990s Peru
started a political rapprochement with this region, when it began opening
embassies in several of them.[5]
Until 1990 there
were only Peru Embassies in Japan, China and South Korea. It opened embassies
in Malaysia, Thailand, Singapore, Vietnam (soon to be installed), Indonesia and
the Philippines (although there is now only a Consulate in Manila). Many of
these countries also opened embassies in Peru.
Political
relations with the countries in the Asian region are at a good level. In the
first half of the past decade Peruvian government relations with Japan were a
bit cool since former President Alberto Fujimori, of Japanese descent, sought
refuge in Japan in 2000 and the Peruvian government requested his extradition
to stand trial on various topics. Fujimori left Japan in 2005 for Chile and in 2007
was extradited to Peru from this country.
Just in this
year, for example President Ollanta Humala has made state visits to China,
Korea and Japan, and at the meeting of the APEC summit in Bali in October this
year, he met with several of them again, and also visited Thailand days before
the APEC meeting. It is also said that President Humala has a very special
relationship with South Korea because he stayed there for about half a year as
a military attaché in the second half of 2004.[6]
TABLE 3: WORLD LEADING EXPORTERS AND IMPORTERS OF
GOODS, 2012 (BILLIONS OF DOLLARS)
Ranking of
Countries
|
Export Amount
|
Ranking of
Countries
|
Import Amount
|
1.
China
|
2,049
|
1.
USA
|
2,335
|
2.
USA
|
1,547
|
2.
China
|
1,818
|
3.
Germany
|
1,407
|
3.
Germany
|
1,167
|
4.
Japan
|
799
|
4.
Japan
|
886
|
5.
Holland
|
656
|
5.
United Kingdom
|
680
|
6.
France
|
569
|
6.
France
|
674
|
7.
Republic of Korea
|
548
|
7.
Holland
|
591
|
8.
Russian Federation
|
529
|
8.
Hong Kong
-
Retained Imports
|
554
140
|
9.
Italy
|
500
|
9.
Republic of Korea
|
520
|
10.
Hong-Kong
-
Domestic Exports
-
Re-exports
|
493
22
471
|
10.
India
|
489
|
11.
United Kingdom
|
468
|
11
Italy
|
486
|
12
Canada
|
455
|
12.
Canada
|
475
|
13. Belgium
|
446
|
13.
Belgium
|
435
|
1.
Singapore
-
Domestic Exports
-
Re-exports
|
408
228
180
|
14.
Mexico
|
380
|
15.
Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
|
386
|
2.
Singapore
-
Retained Imports
|
380
199
|
16
Mexico
|
371
|
3.
Russian Federation
|
335
|
17
Chinese Taipei
|
371
|
4.
Spain
|
332
|
Source:
World Trade Organization: World Trade Report 2013, Appendix
Table 1.2, page 33
Besides APÊC, Peru belongs to other interregional
organizations with East Asian countries. These are FEALAC, the Forum for East
Asia and Latin American Cooperation[7],
PECC, the Pacific Economic Cooperation Council[8],
and PBEC, The Pacific Basin Economic Cooperation organization[9].
This author has participated in these
organizations in several occasions. In 2011 the Foreign Ministers of the 36
FEALAC member countries created the Vision Group of Experts to provide them
with a document for a roadmap to the organization. This group of experts met
four times from March 2012 to June 2103, and in the last meeting of June in
Bali, Indonesia, they presented this document to the Foreign Ministers that met
that month in Bali also. This author was the Chairman of this Vision Group in
the last two meting (and the Vice Chairman in the first two meetings)[10].
During the years 1997 to 2002 this author
also participated in PECC meetings as Peru representative in the Human Resource
Development Working Group of this organization, and was the Deputy Director of
the Peru Committee in the PBEC, from April 1999 to April 2002.
II.
TRADE
Peru's foreign
trade has grown enormously in recent years. In the year 2012 exports accounted for
22.9% of GDP reaching $45.639 million dollars (though it was 26.2% of GDP in
2011), when in 1993 was only $3.344 million dollars and represented 12% of GDP.
The degree of openness of the economy (measured by its total external trade
compared to the size of the economy) reached 43.4% of GDP in 2012. Especially
trade with Asia grew dramatically. This has been a result of trade
liberalization policies that were implemented from 1990 onwards, resulting in
free trade agreements, FTA, which the country has signed in a total of 54 at
the end of 2012, and because of the high demand for raw materials that Peru
possesses.
Peruvian exports
are generally of primary products and its imports are of manufactured products.
From the export side, 70% were mining and oil in 2012. See Graph 5. While still
it has a great dependence on these products, the export basket is diversified:
copper, gold, lead, zinc, iron, refined silver are mainly exported. In any case,
the great rise in the price of raw materials in the last decade turned out in Peru
favor. See Graph 6.
GRAPH 5: PERCENTAGE COMPOSITION OF EXPORTS
Source: BCR, Memory 2012, page 69
GRAPH 6: EXPORT PRICE INDEXES ACCORDING TO INDUSTRY
SECTORS: JANUARY 2005 - JULY 2013 (BASE YEAR 2002 = 100)
Source: Instituto
Nacional de Estadística e Informática, INEI: Perú en Cifras-Comercio Exterior: http://www.inei.gob.pe/perucifrasHTM/inf-eco/cuadro.asp?cod=8539&name=comex04&ext=gif
Trade relations
with the Asian region increase due to the strong demand for raw materials from
those countries, and imports of manufactures of Peru from those countries increase
as the Peruvian economy is growing and there is a strong demand for consumer
goods, from a growing middle class and by the industry demand for capital goods
and inputs. Also, Peru has signed Free Trade Agreements with several of them,
as with China, Singapore, South Korea, Japan and Thailand. As a result, Asia in
general is the region with which the share of external trade is higher, a 30.6%
of the total, followed by North America with 23.2%, the European Union with 14.8%,
the Andean countries with 13.1%, Mercosur with 7.3%, and the rest of the world
11.1%, according to data from 2012.[11]
With China, the
FTA went into effect in March 2010, with South Korea in August 2011, and with
Japan in March 2012.
On the other
hand Peru is negotiating one more commercial treaty in the Trans-Pacific
Partnership Agreement, called the TPP, including several Asian countries such
as Malaysia, Brunei, Australia, New Zealand, Vietnam, Japan, Singapore and
Chile, U.S., Canada and Mexico. All these countries are also members of APEC.
Also Peru is
expected to begin negotiations for an FTA with Indonesia soon.[12].
Free trade
agreements allow many products from Peru to enter into those markets paying low
or no tariffs.
The issue is
what to sell them. There is a need to prepare an exportable supply. Almost 95%
of what is currently being sell to them are commodities. It is necessary to
know their markets and what are the consumer demands. For example one of the
sectors that have significantly increased its sales to other countries is the
agro industry sector, with products such as asparagus, paprika, where Peru is
the world's largest exporter. But Asian countries like Japan, Korea and China
have strict phytosanitary requirements for the entry of such products. Peruvians
goods are in the process of passing those tests in order to export these and
other agricultures products.
The most
important trading partners for Peru are China, Japan, South Korea, and Taiwan,
in that order. See Table 4. The growth in sales to China has been spectacular. Peru
increased its total exports from 1993 to 2012 from an amount of 3,344 million dollars
to 45,846 million dollars (though in the last year the amount decreased
slightly compared to 2011), an increase of nearly 14 times, but to China in the
same period sales increased from 140 to 7,848 million dollars, an increase of
56 times, and to Korea increased from $59 million to $1,545 million, an
increase of 26 times. To Korea exports went from $59 million to $1,545 million,
an increase of 26 times.
TABLE 4: PERU'S EXPORTS TO
ASIAN MEMBERS OF APEC (IN MILLION OF DOLLARS)
(FOB VALUE)
Country/Economy
|
1993
|
1997
|
2003
|
2006
|
2010
|
2011
|
2012
|
World Total
|
3,344.40
|
6,741.75
|
8,939.82
|
23,431.43
|
35,073.25
|
46,386.03
|
45,846.18
|
Australia
|
14.99
|
16.31
|
53.12
|
38.25
|
117.5
|
115.35
|
99.50
|
South Korea
|
59.36
|
91.50
|
176.34
|
545.27
|
894.9
|
1,696.09
|
1,545.35
|
China
|
140.84
|
490.06
|
676.96
|
2,267.27
|
5,425.9
|
6,972.64
|
7,848.97
|
Philippines
|
31.99*
|
47.96
|
11.06
|
44.89
|
123.41
|
109.75
|
55.23
|
Hong-Kong
|
28.60
|
68.82
|
30.31
|
42.14
|
78.5
|
93.24
|
96.54
|
Indonesia
|
32.62*
|
36.33
|
22.67
|
30.08
|
36.61
|
61.49
|
101.18
|
Japan
|
299.04
|
473.57
|
391.16
|
1,229.76
|
1,790.4
|
2,174.76
|
2,575.33
|
Malaysia
|
57.33*
|
59.77
|
5.51
|
7.17
|
8.43
|
6.75
|
27.68
|
New Zeeland
|
1.50
|
-
|
3.72
|
7.59
|
13.5
|
18.63.
|
25.82
|
Russia
|
9.90
|
9.48
|
14.18
|
25.61
|
57.9
|
78.80
|
88.43
|
Singapore
|
1.68*
|
11.96*
|
16.15
|
4.59
|
6.66
|
7.94
|
21.46
|
Thailand
|
11.71*
|
36.23
|
26.71
|
65.43
|
98.10
|
264.76
|
234.06
|
Taiwan
(Chinese Taipei)
|
118.78
|
159.11
|
147.28
|
415.03
|
293.0
|
365.28
|
261.10
|
Vietnam
|
1.62*
|
2.56
|
10.64
|
35.51
|
63.89
|
77.72
|
90.43
|
*Year1994
Source: Aduanas del Perú:
http://www.aduanet.gob.pe/aduanas/informae/2012/generales/ExpoImpoPorContiZonaPais.html
PROMPERUSTAT http://www.siicex.gob.pe/promperustat/frmRanking_x_Pais.aspx
(Before the year 2000)
China,
as said before, was the largest export market in 2012, in fifth place was Japan,
in the ninth South Korea, and Taiwan was in 24. See Table 5.
TABLE 5: MAIN
DESTINATION COUNTRIES OF PERUVIAN EXPORTS, 2012 (FOB VALUE, MILLION US$
1. China
|
7,848
|
2. USA
|
6,175
|
3. Switzerland
|
5,074
|
4. Canada
|
3,445
|
5. Japan
|
2,575
|
6. Chile
|
2,028
|
7. Germany
|
1,866
|
8. Spain
|
1,842
|
9. Korea
|
1,545
|
10. Brazil
|
1,402
|
Total exports
|
45,946
|
Source:
Aduanas del Perú
China since 2011
became the largest export market of Peru. In 2012 around 7,692 million dollars was
sold to China while to the U.S. was sold 6,032 million dollars. See Table 6
TABLE 6: MAJOR TRADING PARTNERS OF PERU IN THE LAST
THREE YEARS, IN MILLIONS OF DOLLARS
COUNTRY
|
2010
|
2010
|
2011
|
2011
|
2012
|
2012
|
|
Exports
|
Imports
|
Exports
|
Imports
|
Exports
|
Imports
|
1. China
|
5,436
|
5,140
|
6,963
|
6,325
|
7,692
|
7,795
|
2. U.S.A
|
6,087
|
5,811
|
5,903
|
7,350
|
6,032
|
7,921
|
3. Switzerland
|
3,845
|
118
|
5,937
|
150
|
5,062
|
154
|
4. Canada
|
3,329
|
539
|
4,232
|
583
|
3,358
|
588
|
5. Japan
|
1,790
|
1,336
|
2,174
|
1,314
|
2,575
|
1,499
|
Source: Aduanas del Peru:
To the rest of Asian
countries we sell still little, however this is increasing. In 2012 around $101
million was sold to Indonesia, to Philippines $55 million (almost half of what
was sold in the year 2011), to Thailand $234 million, and $90 million to
Vietnam, among the most important markets[13].
But to Asia
mostly raw materials are sold. China is already the largest buyer of Peruvian
fishmeal, iron, copper, lead, zinc. In Tables 7, 8 and 9 are the main products
exported to China, Japan and Korea.
Exports are
based on natural resources that Peru has, and follow what is defined as a
country's comparative advantage. But it more value-added products should be
exported. In this sense it is necessary to promote the industrialization of
certain products, promote non-traditional exports, such as agro industry, and
take advantage of trade agreements being signed with Asian countries to be able
to participate in the production chains being formed among them. There is a
very strong intraregional trade in parts and components in various industries
in the region, where for example Thailand, Japan, Korea, manufacture parts and
components of a product to be finally assembled in China.
TABLE 7: TOP 10 PRODUCTS EXPORTED TO CHINA, 2012
PRODUCT
|
Million of Dollars
FOB value
|
Total
|
7,848
|
Copper ores and concentrates
|
3,503
|
Fishmeal
|
886
|
Lead ore
|
853
|
Iron ore
|
852
|
Copper cathodes
|
684
|
Copper "Blister"
|
222
|
Silver ore
|
174
|
Zinc ore
|
144
|
Cuttle fish and squid
|
110
|
Zinc, not alloyed
|
97
|
Ores and Fishmeal (9 products): 95% of total
Source: ADUANAS DEL PERU
file:/C:/Documents%20and%20Settings/pc%201/Escritorio/subPartidasPorPaisDestino.html
TABLE 8: TOP 10 PRODUCTS EXPORTED TO JAPAN, 2012
PRODUCT
|
Million of Dollars
FOB
|
Total
|
2,575
|
Copper ores and concentrates
|
1,460
|
Liquefied Natural Gas
|
451
|
Fishmeal
|
163
|
Zinc ore
|
118
|
Lead ore
|
84
|
Gasoline
|
65
|
Copper cathodes
|
42
|
other gasolines
|
17
|
Fish oil
|
16
|
Asparagus
|
13
|
9 main products: 94% of total
Source: ADUANAS DEL PERU: file:///C:/Documents%20and%20Settings/pc%201/Escritorio/subPartidasPorPaisDestino.html
TABLE 9: TOP 10 PRODUCTS EXPORTED TO KOREA, 2012
PRODUCT
|
MILLION OF DOLARES
FOB
|
Total
|
1,545
|
Lead ore and concentrates
|
485
|
Copper ores and concentrates
|
470
|
Zinc ore
|
213
|
Silver ore
|
156
|
Copper cathodes
|
42
|
Copper "Blister"
|
41
|
Coffee
|
30
|
Cuttle fish and squid
|
27
|
Pota
|
27
|
Fresh grapes
|
8
|
9 main products:
96% of total
Source: ADUANAS DEL PERU: file:///C:/Documents%20and%20Settings/pc%201/Escritorio/subPartidasPorPaisDestino.html
It should also be
necessary to learn from the experience of Asian countries in the sense that
many of them went from being commodity exporters to become exporters of
manufactures. The most recent case is of Malaysia, which 40 years ago was much
like Peru because it exported mostly raw materials, like tin, rubber, oil, and
now is a center of manufacturing production and exports of these gods constitute
90% of the total sales[14].
Something that
would hopefully help to sell more value-added products to Asians is the
formation of the Alliance of the Pacific (Alianza del Pacífico), between Peru,
Chile, Mexico and Colombia (the first three members of APEC). These 4 countries
will try, through the establishment of joint trade offices, to present a joint
export supply, as the best way to take advantage of the opportunities offered
by the Asian market. Pacific Alliance has raised a great interest in many
countries, and three in East Asia, China, Japan and Korea (apart from Australia
and New Zealand), are observer members of this group.[15]
On the import side, the following table also shows that China is the
largest source of imports from Asia. The growth has been spectacular. It went from
$90 million in 1993 to $7,802 million by 2012, an increase of 86 times.
The importance of the Asian region as a source of imports increased
in the past two decades. As seen in Table 10, in 1993 only 16% of our purchases
were from the 8 major Asian countries of our trade (China, Korea, Japan,
Taiwan, Thailand, Russia, Indonesia, Malaysia), in the year 2012 around 30%
came from them.
TABLE 10: IMPORTS OF PERU FROM MAJOR ASIAN COUNTRIES MEMBERS OF APEC
(IN MILLION OF DOLLARS, CIF)
Country
|
1993
|
1997
|
2003
|
2006
|
2010
|
2011
|
2012
|
World Total
|
4,024.55
|
7,716.79
|
8,428.51
|
20,464.21
|
27,910.70
|
37,891.00
|
42,150.68
|
Australia
|
17.35
|
33.09
|
28.12
|
67.52
|
75.07
|
111.1
|
133.0
|
South Korea
|
99.42
|
230.25
|
277.72
|
522.34
|
1,044.25
|
1,497.2
|
1,647.6
|
China
|
90.43
|
195.92
|
646.54
|
2,474.22
|
5,115.3
|
6,364.7
|
7,802.9
|
Philippines
|
|
|
11.06
|
9.79
|
12.04
|
22.9
|
27.4
|
Hong Kong
|
12.29
|
17.04
|
15.19
|
16.59
|
22.80
|
15.8
|
20.5
|
Indonesia
|
|
|
40.00
|
59.42
|
120.96
|
221.1
|
245.1
|
Japan
|
303.62
|
417.99
|
367.40
|
790.39
|
1,336.96
|
1,314.4
|
1,499.9
|
Malaysia
|
|
|
57.77
|
118.73
|
160.44
|
207.0
|
206.9
|
New Zeeland
|
45.95
|
-
|
16.20
|
22.40
|
56.47
|
68.1
|
119.0
|
Russia
|
15.28
|
21.92
|
56.36
|
136.35
|
183.42
|
513.0
|
334.2
|
Singapore
|
|
|
22.23
|
27.50
|
38.45
|
50.83
|
60.00
|
Thailand
|
|
|
32.10
|
86.55
|
372.28
|
443.7
|
452.1
|
Taiwan
|
60.16
|
112.05
|
133.58
|
258.40
|
327.80
|
442.1
|
461.7
|
Vietnam
|
|
|
4.69
|
19.73
|
52.50
|
102.4
|
113.1
|
Source: Aduanas
del Peru
Peru mostly buys
from Asian countries manufactured products. China now is the cheapest
manufacturer in the world for most products. It is the second source of our
imports, behind U.S. but this year 2013,
China certainly will surpass it.
TABLE 11: TOP 10 PRODUCTS IMPORTED FROM CHINA, 2012
PRODUCT
|
Million of dollars
CIF Value
|
Total
|
7,802
|
Mobile Phones
|
539
|
Data processing machine
|
427
|
Motorcycles
|
163
|
Vehicles
|
110
|
Telecommunications devices
|
92
|
Footwear
|
74
|
Steel foundry constructions
|
83
|
Photovoltaic cells
|
77
|
Photographic camera
|
73
|
Rolled steel sheets
|
68
|
Source: ADUANAS DEL PERU: http://www.aduanet.gob.pe/aduanas/informae/2012/importacion/principalesSubpartidasPaisOrigen.html
It is
interesting to note that imports from Korea have also increased dramatically in
recent years surpassing those from Japan. For example last year more cars were imported
from Korea than from Japan. This is mainly due to the price factor, the high
appreciation of the Japanese currency, the yen, in the last years. But lately
there has been a massive entry of cheap Chinese cars, so probably it is just a matter
of time before Chinese cars surpass those from Korea too.
TABLE 12: TOP 10 PRODUCTS IMPORTED FROM KOREA, 2012
PRODUCTS
|
MILLON OF DOLARES
CIF VALUE
|
Total
|
1,647
|
Vehicles
greater than 1500 ccc
|
362
|
Tv
devices
|
140
|
Vehicles
of less than 1500 ccc
|
116
|
Transport
vehicles
|
41
|
Vehicles
of 1000 ccc
|
39
|
Sections of iron or steel
|
36
|
Machinery
|
36
|
Cargo
Vehicles
|
33
|
Cement
|
31
|
Other
Vehicles
|
30
|
Source: ADUANAS DEL PERU: http://www.aduanet.gob.pe/aduanas/informae/2012/importacion/principalesSubpartidasPaisOrigen.html
TABLE 13: TOP 10 PRODUCTS IMPORTED FROM JAPAN, 2012
PRODUCT
|
MILLION OF DOLLARS
CIF VALUE
|
Total
|
1,499
|
Vehicles greater than 1000 ccc but
less than 1500 ccc
|
202
|
Vehicles greater than 1500 ccc but
less than 3000 ccc
|
163
|
4x4 Vehicles
|
83
|
Transport vehicles
|
75
|
Cargo Vehicles
|
70
|
Tires
|
54
|
Bulldozers
|
49
|
Other cargo vehicles
|
44
|
Parts and accessories of machines for
printing
|
40
|
Flat laminated iron or steel
|
38
|
Source: ADUANAS DEL PERU: http://www.aduanet.gob.pe/aduanas/informae/2012/importacion/principalesSubpartidasPaisOrigen.html
From the rest of
Asian countries we buy little but this is growing too. According to Aduanas del
Peru (Peruvian Customs Office), in 2012 we bought from Indonesia $245 million,
from Malaysia $206 million, from Thailand $452 million and from Vietnam $113
million. Imports from Indonesia and Vietnam have doubled from 2010 to 2012.
In general China
was the second largest source of imports in 2012, in seventh place was Korea,
in ninth Japan, and in the 18th position was Taiwan.
As indicated before
the share of imports from the Asian region in total imports went from 16% to
nearly 30% from 1993 to 2012. China is the most emblematic case because 20
years ago it did not appeared between the largest trading partners, but now is
the first.
On the other
hand competition from Chinese products has led some industries in Peru into
trouble. The textile and clothing industry are the mainly affected. Precisely
last September 5 there was a great mobilization of the sector involved asking
the government to take action to prevent the entry of undervalued Chinese
garments[16].
China is accused of dumping (this means to sell abroad at a lower price that what
cost to produce or sell in the home market). In fact from the 12 anti-dumping
measures imposed by Peru on foreign products today, 8 are against Chinese products,
of which 5 are against textile products and garments, 2 for footwear, and 1 on
stainless steel cutlery[17].
It is hoped that more Chinese products will be subject to anti-dumping measures
as there is evidence of undervaluation, as even noted by the Minister of
Production.[18]
It should be
noted that although Peru has an FTA agreement with China, several products were
excluded from the agreement, such as textiles and clothing.
One of the
reasons that have made possible the large increase of Peruvian exports is
foreign investment, which has gone to sectors such as mining, agribusiness,
precisely the sectors that have increased more dynamically its sales abroad.
III. FOREIGN INVESTMENT
With the opening
of the economy and the political and social stability that Peru began to
achieve from 1990 onwards, a large amount of foreign investment entered the
country. In 1993 the stock of foreign direct investment was only of $3,500
million but at the end of 2012 it was of 22,674 million dollars.
GRAPH 7: STOCK OF FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT IN PERU AS CAPITAL CONTRIBUTION
Source:
Proinversion: http://www.proinversion.gob.pe/RepositorioAPS/0/0/JER/PRESENTACION_PAIS/2013/PPT_Por%20que%20invertir%20en%20Peru_2013_mayo.pdf
The investment
from Asia is still lower compared to investment from countries in other
regions. See Table 14.
According to the
latest statistics of Proinversión, the government agency that oversees foreign investment
registration, if we calculate it by the country of origin of the parent
company, as shown in Table 14, China is the largest investor of Asia with $796
million, followed by Japan with 436 million dollars. China appears at number 10
place and Japan at 14 place.
TABLE 14: MAJOR INVESTORS IN PERU, 2012, CONTRIBUTION
TO THE CAPITAL STOCK BY COUNTRY OF ORIGIN, (MILLION US$)
COUNTRY
|
2012
|
%
|
ACCUMULATED PERCENTAGE
|
Spain
|
4,818.57
|
21.25%
|
21.25%
|
USA
|
3,012.47
|
13.29%
|
34.54%
|
South Africa
|
1,740.17
|
7.67%
|
42.21%
|
Chile
|
1,643.90
|
7.25%
|
49.46%
|
Brazil
|
1,334.91
|
5.89%
|
55.35%
|
UK 1/
|
1,314.93
|
5.80%
|
61.15%
|
Canada
|
1,276.23
|
5.63%
|
66.78%
|
Switzerland
|
934.65
|
4.12%
|
70.90%
|
Mexico
|
897.90
|
3.96%
|
74.86%
|
China
|
796.48
|
3.51%
|
78.37%
|
Italy
|
733.51
|
3.23%
|
81.61%
|
Colombia
|
569.32
|
2.51%
|
84.12%
|
Holland 2/
|
486.39
|
2.15%
|
86.26%
|
Japan
|
436.79
|
1.93%
|
88.19%
|
Norway
|
402.82
|
1.78%
|
89.97%
|
Others
|
2,275.31
|
10.03%
|
100.00%
|
TOTAL
|
22,674.35
|
100.00%
|
Source:
Proinversión
*Stock
updated until December 2012.
1 / Includes British
Dependencies and British Overseas Territories.
2 / Includes Overseas
Territories http://www.proinversion.gob.pe/0/0/modulos/JER/PlantillaStandardsinHijos.aspx?ARE=0&PFL=0&JER=1537
But actually investment from China is much higher. What happens is that
foreign investment registered in Proinversion just includes new investment and
no reinvestment. Also many other Chinese companies have invested or plan to
invest in Peru. For example, China National Petroleum Corporation (CNPC) operates
in partnership with Pluspetrol some lots in the jungle and has signed
agreements with Petroperu to invest in the petrochemical industry. On November
13 2013 it was announced that CNPC through is listed company PetroChina is
buying Petrobras Peru unit for $2.6 billlion[19].
The Chinese firm
bought all the shares of Petrobras Energia Peru S.A., which has three oil and
gas fields in Peru. Also companies like Zijing Mining
Group have invested in the Rio Blanco copper project in Piura, and
Chinalco-Aluminiun Corp. of China bought for $703 million the majority stake in
Peru Copper, which has the Toromocho copper project (in Junin). Nanjinzhao
Chinese miner also acquired the iron mine Pampa de Pongo in Arequipa, for $200
million from Canadian explorer Cardero Resources Corp.
For example in the following table we see that only in the first half of
2013 the Cia Minera Chinalco has invested $436 million, and in 2012 in the same
period invested $440 million.
TABLE 15 : MINING COMPANIES INVESTMENT IN PERU (JANUARY
– JULY PERIOD)
Source: “Gestión” Newspaper page 4, September 13, 2013.
According to figures from the Ministry
of Energy and Mines of Peru, in August 2013, there was an estimated portfolio
of mining projects of $57,403 million, of which $13,819 million, or 24% of the
total, correspond to China, coming in the first place. See Chart 8.
GRAPH 8:
ESTIMATED PORTFOLIO OF MINING PROJECTS BY MAIN INVESTOR
Source: Ministerio de Energía y Minas: “Cartera estimada de proyectos
mineros, August 2013”, page 3
Shougang Corporation, has the only iron
mine in the country, and another Chinese company, Nanjinzhao (along with the
Chinese also Zibo Hongda company) will invest $3,280 million in another iron
mine, Pampa de Pongo in Arequipa. Chinalco, with Toromocho project, in which
will invest $3,500 million, with the start of operations in 2014 will increase
copper production in the country by 20 %. Besides this, an enlargement of this
mine by $1,320 million is planned.
Furthermore, the company resulting from
the merger of Glencore and Xstrata agreed to sell the copper project Las Bambas
located in Apurimac, and it appears that a Chinese company would bought it.
This project requires an investment of $5,200 million, and when the mine come
into production it could increase by more than a third the amount of copper
produced in Peru[20].
Two other Chinese companies Minmetals and Jiangxi Copper have the Galeno
project, which also produce copper with a projected investment of $2,500
million.
In summary, China will continue to
control the iron production in Peru, and it is likely their companies could control
an important part of the country's copper production in the coming years. With
the buying of Petrobras by PetroChina, the China National Petroleun Company is
estimated could be the largest producer of oil in Peru[21]. Also
a Chinese company, China Fishery Group Limited (CFGL), has bought the fishmeal
company Copeinca[22],
and seeks to control a larger part of the production of fishmeal, of which is
the largest buyer of Peruvian production.
It is interesting to note that Chinese
companies began operations abroad (outside Asia) in the 1990s, and Peru was the
first country to receive such investment. In 1992 Shougang bought the Marcona
mining operation from Hierro Peru (a Peruvian state company) and in 1993 CNPC
began its oil operation in the north of Peru with is company SAPET.
Investment from Asia is important
because they have the capital and technology to develop resources that Peru
has, as the minerals. This investment is generally low but could increase more.
Peru also needs to develop its physical infrastructure such as ports, airports,
which is becoming insufficient given the rapid growth of the country, and here
several Asian countries have expertise in these areas. Precisely this is
necessary for Peru to become, as planned, "the door of the Pacific"
for Asians who want to come to explore market opportunities in Latin America,
and the “the exit door to the Pacific” for Latin Americans, especially of
Brazil and Bolivia, who want to go to the huge Asian market.
Investment from Asia has been mainly
concentrated in mining, oil exploration as well, with for example Korean
companies such as Korea National Oil Company (KNOC), or SK Corporation that
participates in the Camisea Consortium exploiting and exporting gas. For their
part, Japanese companies hold interests in several mining projects, in which they
have invested but do not participate in the management but rather buy the
production. In the manufacturing sector there are few Asian companies, the most
important perhaps the Japanese company Ajinomoto, which was established in the
late 1960s in Peru, and also the Japanese motorcycle company Honda, which
assembles its products in the jungle region. Besides, there is investment in
companies that import many products of Asian countries that are sold
in Peru, especially automobiles and electronic appliances.[23]
Now, investment in mining has caused
some conflicts with some communities where it operates and there are some
Chinese companies that have been involved, and one of them has its operation paralyzed
at the moment, the Project Rio Blanco, of the Chinese company Zijin Mining
Group, which plans to invest $1,500 million in this copper mine, in the
department of Piura. Also another Chinese company, Shougang, constantly has
problems with its workers' union (and also has had with the town where it is
located) and just last September 16 the labor union concluded a 30-day strike over
wage demands[24].
On the other hand, is interesting to
note that some Peruvian companies are investing in Asia. For example, a bank,
Interbank, is already in China with an office in Shanghai (since 2007), and
Ajegroup, which produces soft drinks, juices, among other products, has operations
in Thailand, Indonesia, Vietnam and India. This business group, which began operations
less than 40 years ago, is the most multinational Peruvian business group[25].
IV. ECONOMIC COOPERATION
In the area of
economic cooperation, Peru is the country that receives more financial
support in Latin America from Japan and Korea.
For example,
according to statistics from the Japanese Embassy in Peru, our country is the
first recipient of Japanese aid in Latin America. Thus, the accumulated amount
that Peru has received up to 2009 is $5,909.6 million, 17% of total Japanese
aid to the region. See Graph 9.
GRAPH 9: JAPANESE ECONOMIC
COOPERATION IN LATIN AMERICA
As seen in the
table below Peru received 23.5% of the total budget of the International
Cooperation Agency of Korea, KOICA, in 2008 for Latin America (for a total of
32 million).
GRAPHIC 10: KOREAN
COOPERATION IN LATIN AMERICA: TOP 5 LATIN AMERICAN PARTNER COUNTRIES
|
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Source: KOICA:
English, Countries, Latin America: http://www.koica.go.kr/
Recently also China
economic cooperation is increasing, especially since it became a member of the
Inter-American Development Bank, IDB. Also the China Development Bank gave a
credit of up to $50 million to COFIDE, a government financial company, to
finance projects in the transport, energy, environment, etc. sectors, and with
the purpose of providing assistance in promoting trade and investment with
China.
An interesting aspect of the trade
agreement signed with Japan, called Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA), is
that it has a component of economic and technical cooperation that could be
exploited. This is especially necessary because in order to export to Japan
higher value-added products it requires knowledge of the Japanese market,
passing their demanding exams, especially in the area of phytosanitary measures,
to sell agricultural products. It requires for example that the National
Agrarian Health System, SENASA, be strengthened, and this can be done as part
of that agreement.
Also APEC, that seek
to have an area of free trade and investment for its 21 member economies in
2020, contemplates the issue of economic and technical cooperation among them.
This ranges from
the strengthening of human resources and the training of the workforce, to the
strengthening of the Small and Medium Enterprises, SMEs, measures needed to
produce goods with higher value added to export to these countries.
In other aspect,
since the late 1980s immigration to Japan began to increase considerably. As
seen in the table below, at the end of 2009 there were 57,464 Peruvians there.
This is interesting. As mentioned earlier, Japanese immigration to Peru began
in 1899, and just 90 years later, in 1989, began the immigration of Peruvians to
Japan, and the overwhelming majority of them are descendents of those Japanese
who came to Peru. The economic crisis in Peru and the labor shortage in Japan
made Peruvians of Japanese descendants to go to that country.[26]
Table 16: Peruvians in Japan
Source: http://noticiasnippon.com/2010/07/07/disminuye-el-numero-de-extranjeros-residentes-en-el-japon/
The issue of
Asian immigration to Peru is interesting. The descendants of the Chinese who
came to Peru since 1849 and others who came especially from the year 1990
onwards has made Peru to have the largest Chinese community in Latin America,
and this is estimated to be between 5% and 10% of the total Peruvian
population.[27]
The descendents of the Japanese in Peru are the second largest colony of them in
Latin America after Brazil. They are said that can be the bridge, the link for
more business with these two countries. In this way the group of Peruvians in
Japan could also fulfill this role.
One interesting
thing that must be mentioned is that in recent years, as the interest of Peru
in Chinese economic growth increases and the entry of products from that
country and others in the Asian region also increase, the interest in their
culture and society is also increasing. This has been understood by
countries like China and Korea, which have been increasing efforts to teach
their language and culture in Peru. China has established 4 Confucius
Institutes in four Peruvian universities, and Korea also sends language
teachers and also promotes its music and its dramas on television. This is
really necessary because very little is known in Peru about the reality of the
Asian countries.
Related to the
above, lately the Peruvian government is putting more emphasis on sending more
young people to study abroad through scholarships. For example, CONCYTEC, a
public institution that supports the development of science and technology, has
implemented scholarships to China and is already sending to that country the first
students[28].
The governments of Japan, Korea, and Taiwan also offer scholarships. There should
be more scholarships to train specialists in the region and gain a better
understanding of the Asian countries.
Given the importance
of China, researchers are beginning to emerge about this country[29],
but we do not know still about the other countries so much, so it's a task
ahead of better understanding this dynamic region that will be increasingly more
important for Peru.
V. CONCLUSIONS AND POLICY RECOMMENDATIONS
Peru has greatly
increased its relations with the Asian region in the last two decades.
Trade has especially
increased, with more exports to the region that need the raw materials that
Peru has. Asia is the region that also provides many cheap manufactured products.
China has already become the largest trading partner of Peru and this should
continue. But this commercial relationship is asymmetric because Peru sells
mostly raw materials and purchase from them manufactured goods. Foreign
investment also has increased, especially from China in the mining sector.
Furthermore, Peru needs capital, technology and business knowledge of them, besides
of its huge market.
Given the
country's productive structure, the large investments in the mining sector and
the needs of Asian countries, especially China, certainly in the short and
medium term Peru will continue to export mainly raw materials to Asian
countries.
But for a more
symmetrical relationship we also must learn from them, as many went from exporting
mostly raw materials to manufactured goods.
The above means
to have a policy to gives more value added to what is exported and an
investment policy to improve the physical and human capital. Investment in
science and technology to improve the level of training, the level of education
of the labor force is necessary precisely to transform raw materials into
industrial products. In this way we can also make better use of the various
free trade agreements that Peru has signed with them and will continue signing.
Finally,
although Peru has the largest Chinese community in Latin America, and the
second largest of Nikkei in the region, not much is known about the Asian
region despite of the increase in the importance of this. That is why it is
necessary to study them and to have experts on the region.
In summary, the
following policies are proposed to make more fruitful Peru relationship with
Asia
1.
Peru must make better use of
the fact that is a member of APEC along with Asian countries and use the
mechanisms of economic and technical cooperation present in this forum. The
country needs to apply the Asian experience in the development of human
resources, the development of small and medium enterprises, among others. The Economic
Partnership Agreement with Japan also provides this mechanism and we should take
advantage of this opportunity.
2.
In the same way, the several FTAs
signed with China, Korea, Japan, Thailand and Singapore offer entry to their
markets but if we do not know them, we cannot take advantage of this opportunity.
3.
Peru is, also along with Chile,
Mexico and Colombia (the first two are members of APEC as Peru), in the Pacific
Alliance and should use this in order to open joint offices to promote their
countries and their exportable goods in the Asian markets. The joint offer of
these 4 countries is also necessary to attend the huge demand in the Asian
region.
4.
Asian investment, especially
from China, will continue to be concentrated in the mining sector and the
country will continue to export mainly these products to Asia. The
transformation of raw materials into more value-added products should be
encouraged. Peru exports a lot to the Asian region, but as these are mostly
minerals, natural gas, and fish meal, indeed we do not make an effort to sell
them. In fact, Asian came to buy from us, and increasingly what they buy is
produced by Asian companies in Peru (as in the case of China in the mining and
also fishmeal and oil sector).
5.
The infrastructure in the transport
and communications sectors needs to be expanded and improved, to be able to export
more and to attract investment in the industrial sector. Peru should be
able to participate in the production chains present in Asia, in the trade of
parts and components in various industries in that region. For this we also need
a qualified labor force to work in those industries.
6.
The promotion of Peru exportable
goods with the opening of commercial offices with experts in the field (with
experts in agribusiness sector for example, as Chile has done for example in
several Asian countries) should be made with more effort. Efforts should also
be made to open more embassies in Asian countries.
7.
There is a need to learn more about
the Asian region so the study of this should be promoted and we need to send students
with scholarships offered by some Asian countries and by the Peruvian
government.
November 15,
2013
BIBLIOGRAPHY:
- Carlos Aquino: “Relaciones
Peru-Japon: Diplomacia, Inmigración, Economía y Política”, year 1994, Graphic
Biblos, Lima
- Carlos Aquino: “Introducción a la
Economía Asiática”, año 2000, Faculty of Economic Sciences, UNMSM
- Banco Central de Reserva del Peru,
Memory 2012, July 2013
- Garcia-Corrochano Luis & Tang
Ruben: “Las relaciones entre el Perú y la China”, Instituto de Estudios
Internacionales, Instituto Confucio, PUCP, year 2011, Lima
- Instituto Nacional de Estadística
e Informática, INEI: Perú en Cifras-Comercio Exterior
- Mann Stefanie: “Peru`s relations
with Pacific Asia” 2006, Lit Verlag Publishing, Berlin
[1] See
the book by Carlos Aquino: “Relaciones Perú-Japón: Diplomacia, Inmigración,
Economía y Política”
[3] The World Bank, Data, GDP. http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.CD
[4] “Becoming number one: China´s economy would overtake America´s
within a decade””, The Economist, setiember 24, 2011: http://www.economist.com/node/21528987
[5] Mann Stefanie: “Peru`s relations with Pacific Asia” 2006, Lit
Verlag Publishing House.
[6] It is said that this may be what tipped the balance for Peru to decide
to initiate the assembly of training aircraft for its air force with South Korea,
and not Brazil (to the annoyance of the latter). See “Perú producirá
aviones de guerra”, March 4, 2013: http://peruhistoriaygrandeza.blogspot.com/2013/03/peru-producira-aviones-de-guerra.html
[9] PBEC: http://www.pbec.org/
[11] Memory 2012 Central Reserve Bank of Peru, page 68
[12] Statements by Deputy Minister of Trade of Indonesia, Bayu
Krisnamurthi: “Somos optimistas respecto a un TLC entre
Indonesia y Perú”, “El Comercio” Daily
September 12, 2013 http://elcomercio.pe/economia/1630353/noticia-somos-optimistas-respecto-tlc-entre-indonesia-peru-video
[15]See website of the Pacific Alliance (Alianza del Pacífico) :http://alianzapacifico.net/paises/paises-observadores/.
[16] See “Diario Gestión” September 6, 2013, page 14: “Subvaluación: 25 mil
gamarrinos protestan por prendas chinas”
[17] According to the Quarterly Bulletin of the Committee on Antidumping
and Subsidies INDECOPI March 2013, number 45, pages 13 and 14
http://www.indecopi.gob.pe/repositorioaps/0/5/bol/boletin_dumping_y_subsidios/2013
/ Mar2013CFD.pdf
[18] "Gladys Triveño: There are signs of undervaluation of Chinese
apparel", Diario Gestión, September
4 2013, page 1
[19] Reuters: “PetroChina buying Petrobras Peru unit for $2.6
billion”
[20] See “Glencore
Xstrata alista nuevo proyecto de cobre en el Cuzco”, Diario Gestión, page 6,
September 20, 2013.
[21] According to an expert in the theme Pertochina could control 26% of the
total oil production of Peru. See SEMANAeconomica.com “Luego de la compra de Petrobras PetroChina
concentraría el 26% de la producción petrolera en el Perú”
[22] See Diario el Comercio, August 29, 2013 “Grupo Dyer completó venta de
sus acciones en Copeinca por US$223,2 mlls -La
empresa China
Fishery Group ahora posee el
99,1% de los papeles de la pesquera fundada por la familia Dyer-“ http://elcomercio.pe/economia/1624356/noticia-grupo-dyer-completo-venta-sus-acciones-copeinca-us2232-mlls
[23] See : Carlos Aquino: “La
importancia de las empresa asiáticas en el Perú”, en el Blog personal, Asia
Pacifico: http://asiapacifico-carlos.blogspot.com/2013/04/la-importancia-de-las-empresas.html
[24] Every year since its establishment in 1992,
the labor union has striked against this Chinese company, even several times a
year. See “Ica:
Los obreros de Shougang levantan huelga”, Diario El Comercio, September 17,
2013. page A12
[25] View company website http://www.ajegroup.com/paises.php
[26] View Carlos Aquino: “Migración de peruanos a Japón”, in
“Pensamiento Crítico”, Journal of the Institute of Economic Research, San
Marcos, No.13, June 2010, pp.. 7 to 21:
http://economia.unmsm.edu.pe/Organizacion/IIEc/Archivos/RevistasIIE/PC_13/PC13_CAP01.pdf
[27] See Garcia-Corrochano
Luis & Tang Ruben: “Las relaciones entre el Perú y la China”, Institute of
International Studies, Confucius Institute, PUCP, 2011, Lima
[28] See "CONCURSO NACIONAL DE BECAS DE ESTUDIOS DE
DOCTORADO, MAESTRIA, PERFECCIONAMIENTO DE ESPECIALIDADES O APRENDIZAJE DEL
IDIOMA CHINO EN UNIVERSIDADES DE LA REPÚBLICA POPULAR CHINA 2013 - 2014",
http://portal.concytec.gob.pe/index.php/ FONDECYT-becas-china-2013.html
[29] See Carlos Aquino: “Acerca de los estudios
sobre China en el Perú” http://www.academia.edu/4266298/ACERCA_DE_LOS_ESTUDIOS_SOBRE_CHINA_EN_EL_PERU